Daily GDP nowcasts

Where is the world economy growing this quarter?

Model estimates of current-quarter real GDP growth for the world, its regions and its largest economies, updated every morning from the latest public data. Percent, seasonally adjusted annual rate.

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World & regions

Aggregates weight each modelled economy by GDP in current US dollars (World Bank). The part of a region not yet modelled is held at its latest annual growth; coverage shows the modelled share.

Economies

The US and China run dedicated models, European economies a Eurostat-based model with GDP components, and the others a standard template whose inputs lag by about two months. Accuracy grades (A+ to C) show how often each model's final nowcast landed within ±1pp and ±2pp of official GDP in past quarters.