World · Weekly Economic Pulse

+0.49

Week of 19 Oct 2026 · above-average momentum · updated weekly

Coverage: 15 economies, 48% of world GDP (United States 55% of the weight). China, Japan and India not yet covered.

4-week change+0.15
13-week change+0.59
Percentile since 200776%
52-week range−0.28 to +0.61

World weekly economic activity

Standard deviations from average growth (13-week momentum). Above 0 = faster than average, below 0 = slower.
-10+1202420252026

What drives the Pulse

Supported by United States (+0.30) and Euro area (+0.17). Biggest move over four weeks: Euro area (+0.10). 12 of 15 economies are growing faster than their average.

Contribution of each group of economies, standard deviations; bars add up to the Pulse (line). Faded bars and dashed line: provisional weeks, before most weekly and daily inputs have reported.

Contributions by group of economies

EconomiesWeek of 19 Oct 2026Change since 21 Sep 2026
United States+0.30+0.05
Euro area+0.17+0.10
UK and other Europe+0.04+0.03
Canada and Australia−0.01−0.04
Weekly Economic Pulse+0.49+0.15

Latest data

Economies above average12 of 15
GDP with a firm reading, week of 19 Oct 202678%
EconomySourceLatest dataWeightSignalvs 4 weeks ago
United States
United StatesWeekly Economic Pulse19 Oct 202654.6%+0.4 above average▶
Euro area
GermanyWeekly Economic Pulse19 Oct 20269.0%+0.3 above average▲
France awaiting dataWeekly Economic Pulse12 Oct 20266.0%+0.0 near average▲
Italy awaiting dataWeekly Economic Pulse12 Oct 20264.5%+0.5 above average▼
Spain awaiting dataWeekly Economic Pulse12 Oct 20263.4%+0.7 above average▲
Netherlands awaiting dataWeekly Economic Pulse12 Oct 20262.4%−0.1 near average▶
Belgium awaiting dataWeekly Economic Pulse12 Oct 20261.3%−0.2 near average▶
Ireland awaiting dataWeekly Economic Pulse12 Oct 20261.3%+0.1 near average▲
Portugal awaiting dataWeekly Economic Pulse12 Oct 20260.6%+0.5 above average▲
Greece awaiting dataWeekly Economic Pulse12 Oct 20260.5%+0.4 above average▲
Bulgaria awaiting dataWeekly Economic Pulse12 Oct 20260.2%+0.8 above average▲
UK and other Europe
United KingdomWeekly Economic Pulse19 Oct 20267.1%+0.3 above average▲
Poland awaiting dataWeekly Economic Pulse12 Oct 20261.8%+0.3 above average▼
Canada and Australia
CanadaWeekly Economic Pulse19 Oct 20264.1%+0.3 above average▼
AustraliaWeekly Economic Pulse19 Oct 20263.2%−0.6 below average▼
Contributions in standard deviations by group of economies; they add up to the World Pulse. Coverage: share of the covered GDP with a firm reading for that week. Signal: each economy's own Pulse.

How to read the breakdown

Pulse and GDP

For world GDP itself, see the daily World GDP nowcast, which covers far more economies. The Pulse is a weekly gauge of momentum, not a GDP estimate: it reacts within days to shifts in activity that official monthly and quarterly statistics confirm weeks later.

Latest weekly readings

Week startingPulseReading
19 Oct 2026+0.49above-average
12 Oct 2026+0.41above-average
5 Oct 2026+0.44above-average
28 Sep 2026+0.41above-average
21 Sep 2026+0.35above-average
14 Sep 2026+0.24about average
7 Sep 2026+0.16about average
31 Aug 2026+0.06about average
24 Aug 2026−0.07about average
17 Aug 2026−0.07about average
10 Aug 2026−0.11about average
3 Aug 2026−0.19about average
27 Jul 2026−0.12about average
Recent weeks are revised as late data arrive. Updated every Friday morning (UTC).

About the World Weekly Economic Pulse

The World Pulse is the GDP-weighted average of the economy Pulses listed below (weights: GDP in current US dollars, as for the World GDP nowcast), rescaled so that 0 is average growth and 1 is one standard deviation, the same scale as each economy's Pulse. Contributions by group of economies add up to it.

Sources: Weekly Economic Pulse of 15 economies: United States, Germany, United Kingdom, France, Italy, Canada, Spain, Australia, Netherlands, Poland, Belgium, Ireland, Portugal, Greece, Bulgaria.

Full method, tests and limitations: Methodology · Weekly Economic Pulse.

Questions

What is the World Weekly Economic Pulse?

A weekly index of global economic momentum: the GDP-weighted average of the Weekly Economic Pulses of 15 economies, rescaled to the same scale (0 = average growth, +1 = one standard deviation faster).

What does the latest reading say about the world economy?

In the week of 19 Oct 2026 the World Pulse was +0.49, above-average momentum, +0.15 over four weeks and +0.59 over thirteen. It is higher than 76% of weekly readings since 2007 (2020–2021 excluded).

What is driving the World Pulse?

In the week of 19 Oct 2026: Supported by United States (+0.30) and Euro area (+0.17). Biggest move over four weeks: Euro area (+0.10). 12 of 15 economies are growing faster than their average. Contributions are in standard deviations and add up to the World Pulse.

Which economies does it cover?

15 economies with a published weekly Pulse, 48% of world GDP in current US dollars; the United States carries 55% of the weight. China, Japan and India have no weekly Pulse yet, so the World Pulse leans towards advanced economies and is not a full global measure.

How are economies weighted?

By GDP in current US dollars (latest year), the same weights as the daily World GDP nowcast, renormalised over the covered economies. An economy whose data for the latest week are not in yet carries its previous reading for up to two weeks; such weeks are shown as provisional until most of the covered GDP has a firm reading.

Is the World Pulse a GDP forecast?

No. It is a gauge of momentum from weekly data, not an estimate of GDP. For world GDP, see the daily World GDP nowcast on worldgdp.org, which covers far more economies.

How often is it updated, and is it revised?

Weekly, every Friday morning (UTC), after the economy Pulses. It is revised whenever an economy's Pulse is revised.

Other economies

Australia · Belgium · Bulgaria · Canada · France · Germany · Greece · Ireland · Italy · Netherlands · Poland · Portugal · Spain · United Kingdom · United States · All Pulse readings