# worldgdp.org

> Free daily nowcasts of real GDP growth for the world, 12 regions and 47 economies (about 90% of world GDP): a model estimate of the current quarter's growth before the official release, updated every day at 07:00 UTC, with its evolution, drivers, upcoming data and a graded accuracy track record.

Units: quarter-on-quarter real GDP growth, seasonally adjusted annual rate (SAAR), %. Nowcasts are model estimates, not official statistics. Accuracy grades (A+ to C) score each model against the official first estimates; backtests are labelled as simulations.

## Pages
- [World](https://worldgdp.org/world): world aggregate nowcast
- [All economies and regions](https://worldgdp.org/): overview, map and grades
- [Methodology](https://worldgdp.org/methodology): models, testing, grading, aggregation
- [Weekly Economic Pulse](https://worldgdp.org/pulse): weekly economic activity indices (momentum gauges)
- [Global Trade Nowcast](https://worldgdp.org/trade): weekly seaborne trade by economy and cargo class, chokepoint monitor
- [Sector Activity Index](https://worldgdp.org/sectors): monthly 50-line readings for 22 sectors across Europe (EC business surveys) and US industry breadth (ISM rankings)
- [Integrations / MCP server](https://worldgdp.org/integrations): free Model Context Protocol endpoint https://mcp.worldgdp.org/mcp (tools: list_economies, get_nowcast, get_aggregate, get_release_calendar, get_track_record, get_weekly_pulse; trade and sector tools when live)

## Aggregates
- [World](https://worldgdp.org/world)
- [High income](https://worldgdp.org/high-income)
- [Emerging and developing](https://worldgdp.org/emerging-developing)
- [North America](https://worldgdp.org/north-america)
- [Europe](https://worldgdp.org/europe)
- [European Union](https://worldgdp.org/european-union)
- [Euro area](https://worldgdp.org/euro-area)
- [Europe & Central Asia](https://worldgdp.org/europe-central-asia)
- [East Asia & Pacific](https://worldgdp.org/east-asia-pacific)
- [South Asia](https://worldgdp.org/south-asia)
- [Latin America & Caribbean](https://worldgdp.org/latin-america-caribbean)
- [Middle East & North Africa](https://worldgdp.org/middle-east-north-africa)
- [Sub-Saharan Africa](https://worldgdp.org/sub-saharan-africa)

## Economies
- [Argentina](https://worldgdp.org/ar)
- [Australia](https://worldgdp.org/au)
- [Austria](https://worldgdp.org/at)
- [Belgium](https://worldgdp.org/be)
- [Brazil](https://worldgdp.org/br)
- [Bulgaria](https://worldgdp.org/bg)
- [Canada](https://worldgdp.org/ca)
- [Chile](https://worldgdp.org/cl)
- [China](https://worldgdp.org/cn)
- [Colombia](https://worldgdp.org/co)
- [Denmark](https://worldgdp.org/dk)
- [Egypt](https://worldgdp.org/eg)
- [Finland](https://worldgdp.org/fi)
- [France](https://worldgdp.org/fr)
- [Germany](https://worldgdp.org/de)
- [Greece](https://worldgdp.org/gr)
- [Hong Kong](https://worldgdp.org/hk)
- [India](https://worldgdp.org/in)
- [Indonesia](https://worldgdp.org/id)
- [Ireland](https://worldgdp.org/ie)
- [Italy](https://worldgdp.org/it)
- [Japan](https://worldgdp.org/jp)
- [Kuwait](https://worldgdp.org/kw)
- [Malaysia](https://worldgdp.org/my)
- [Mexico](https://worldgdp.org/mx)
- [Morocco](https://worldgdp.org/ma)
- [Netherlands](https://worldgdp.org/nl)
- [New Zealand](https://worldgdp.org/nz)
- [Nigeria](https://worldgdp.org/ng)
- [Norway](https://worldgdp.org/no)
- [Philippines](https://worldgdp.org/ph)
- [Poland](https://worldgdp.org/pl)
- [Portugal](https://worldgdp.org/pt)
- [Romania](https://worldgdp.org/ro)
- [Russia](https://worldgdp.org/ru)
- [Saudi Arabia](https://worldgdp.org/sa)
- [Singapore](https://worldgdp.org/sg)
- [South Africa](https://worldgdp.org/za)
- [South Korea](https://worldgdp.org/kr)
- [Spain](https://worldgdp.org/es)
- [Sweden](https://worldgdp.org/se)
- [Switzerland](https://worldgdp.org/ch)
- [Thailand](https://worldgdp.org/th)
- [Türkiye](https://worldgdp.org/tr)
- [United Arab Emirates](https://worldgdp.org/ae)
- [United Kingdom](https://worldgdp.org/uk)
- [United States](https://worldgdp.org/us)

## Current nowcasts (as of 2026-11-04)

| Economy | Quarter | Nowcast (SAAR) | 70% range | Official release | Grade |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| World | 2026Q3 | 3.5% |  |  | A+ |
| High income | 2026Q3 | 3.0% |  |  | B |
| Emerging and developing | 2026Q3 | 4.3% |  |  | A+ |
| North America | 2026Q3 | 3.2% |  |  | A |
| Europe | 2026Q3 | 2.1% |  |  | A+ |
| European Union | 2026Q3 | 1.9% |  |  | A+ |
| Euro area | 2026Q3 | 1.8% |  |  | A |
| Europe & Central Asia | 2026Q3 | 2.1% |  |  | B+ |
| East Asia & Pacific | 2026Q3 | 4.3% |  |  | A+ |
| South Asia | 2026Q3 | 6.5% | 4.3 to 8.7 |  | C |
| Latin America & Caribbean | 2026Q3 | 1.4% |  |  | A+ |
| Middle East & North Africa | 2026Q3 | 6.8% |  |  | C |
| Sub-Saharan Africa | 2026Q3 | 4.2% | 3.4 to 5.0 |  | C |
| Argentina | 2026Q3 | -5.6% | -10.4 to -0.8 | 2026-12-16 | B- |
| Australia | 2026Q3 | 2.6% | 1.1 to 4.1 | 2026-12-02 | C+ |
| Austria | 2026Q4 | 0.2% | -1.2 to 1.7 | 2027-01-30 (est.) | B+ |
| Belgium | 2026Q4 | 1.0% | 0.0 to 1.9 | 2027-01-30 (est.) | B+ |
| Brazil | 2026Q3 | 0.7% | -1.4 to 2.9 | 2026-12-02 | B |
| Bulgaria | 2026Q3 | 0.8% | -1.3 to 2.8 | 2026-11-14 (est.) | C |
| Canada | 2026Q3 | 1.3% | 0.4 to 2.2 | 2026-11-30 | A+ |
| Chile | 2026Q3 | -3.7% | -5.5 to -1.8 | 2026-11-18 | B+ |
| China | 2026Q4 | 4.6% | 3.2 to 6.0 | 2027-01-19 | A+ |
| Colombia | 2026Q3 | 3.3% | 1.3 to 5.3 | 2026-11-17 | B |
| Denmark | 2026Q3 | 2.2% | -0.7 to 5.0 | 2026-11-20 | C |
| Egypt | 2026Q3 | 4.4% | 1.2 to 7.5 | 2026-12-29 (est.) | C |
| Finland | 2026Q4 | 1.1% | -1.1 to 3.3 | 2027-01-30 (est.) | B- |
| France | 2026Q4 | 1.0% | -0.3 to 2.2 | 2027-01-30 (est.) | A |
| Germany | 2026Q4 | 1.0% | -0.5 to 2.5 | 2027-01-30 (est.) | A |
| Greece | 2026Q3 | 3.7% | 1.0 to 6.4 | 2026-12-07 | B- |
| Hong Kong | 2026Q3 | 3.2% | 1.1 to 5.5 | 2026-11-03 | C+ |
| India | 2026Q3 | 6.9% | 4.3 to 9.4 | 2026-11-30 | C |
| Indonesia | 2026Q3 | 5.2% | 4.8 to 5.6 | 2026-11-05 | B- |
| Ireland | 2026Q4 | 3.0% | -12.3 to 18.4 | 2027-01-30 (est.) | C |
| Italy | 2026Q4 | 0.4% | -0.7 to 1.5 | 2027-01-30 (est.) | A- |
| Japan | 2026Q3 | 2.0% | 0.6 to 3.4 | 2026-11-16 | A- |
| Kuwait | 2026Q3 | 124.1% | 116.1 to 132.2 | 2027-01-28 (est.) | C |
| Malaysia | 2026Q3 | 2.8% | 0.4 to 5.2 | 2026-11-18 | C |
| Mexico | 2026Q4 | 1.9% | -1.0 to 4.8 | 2027-01-29 | B+ |
| Morocco | 2026Q3 | 4.6% | -0.1 to 9.4 | 2026-12-29 (est.) | C |
| Netherlands | 2026Q4 | 2.0% | 0.2 to 3.8 | 2027-02-14 (est.) | B- |
| New Zealand | 2026Q3 | 2.6% | 0.1 to 5.2 | 2026-12-17 | C |
| Nigeria | 2026Q3 | 3.8% | -1.4 to 9.0 | 2026-11-24 (est.) | C |
| Norway | 2026Q3 | 1.2% | -1.0 to 3.4 | 2026-11-26 | B |
| Philippines | 2026Q3 | 5.8% | 2.9 to 8.7 | 2026-11-09 | C |
| Poland | 2026Q3 | 2.5% | 0.0 to 5.1 | 2026-11-14 (est.) | B- |
| Portugal | 2026Q4 | 2.5% | 0.2 to 4.8 | 2027-01-30 (est.) | C+ |
| Romania | 2026Q3 | 7.0% | 0.7 to 13.3 | 2026-11-14 (est.) | C |
| Russia | 2026Q3 | 2.1% | -1.0 to 5.1 | 2026-11-13 | B- |
| Saudi Arabia | 2026Q4 | 6.4% | -0.1 to 12.9 | 2027-02-09 (est.) | C |
| Singapore | 2026Q4 | 8.4% | 4.4 to 12.4 | 2027-01-14 (est.) | C |
| South Africa | 2026Q3 | 1.6% | -0.1 to 3.4 | 2026-12-01 | B+ |
| South Korea | 2026Q4 | 3.6% | 1.6 to 5.6 | 2027-01-26 (est.) | B |
| Spain | 2026Q4 | 3.0% | 2.3 to 3.7 | 2027-01-30 (est.) | A |
| Sweden | 2026Q4 | 2.4% | -0.1 to 4.8 | 2027-01-30 (est.) | B- |
| Switzerland | 2026Q3 | 2.1% | 1.0 to 3.1 | 2026-11-16 | C+ |
| Thailand | 2026Q3 | 4.3% | 1.2 to 7.4 | 2026-11-19 (est.) | B |
| Türkiye | 2026Q3 | 1.6% | -3.2 to 6.5 | 2026-12-01 | C |
| United Arab Emirates | 2026Q3 | 5.2% | -0.7 to 11.1 | 2027-01-13 (est.) | C |
| United Kingdom | 2026Q3 | 2.8% | 1.4 to 4.2 | 2026-11-12 | B |
| United States | 2026Q4 | 2.4% | 0.9 to 4.0 | 2027-01-28 (est.) | A |

## Terms
- Free to use and cite with attribution to worldgdp.org. [Terms](https://worldgdp.org/terms)

## Weekly Economic Pulse

Weekly economic activity indices (momentum gauge: standardised 13-week growth of weekly indicators; 0 = average growth; not a GDP forecast). Hub: https://worldgdp.org/pulse. MCP tool: get_weekly_pulse.

| Economy | Week | Pulse | 4-week change | Reading | Page |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Australia | 2026-10-26 | -0.92 | -0.66 | below-average | https://worldgdp.org/pulse-au |
| Canada | 2026-10-26 | +0.24 | -0.08 | about average | https://worldgdp.org/pulse-ca |
| Dubai | 2026-10-26 | -0.49 | +0.47 | below-average | https://worldgdp.org/pulse-dubai |
| France | 2026-10-12 | -0.17 | +0.30 | about average | https://worldgdp.org/pulse-fr |
| Germany | 2026-10-26 | +0.34 | +0.03 | above-average | https://worldgdp.org/pulse-de |
| Italy | 2026-10-12 | +0.33 | -0.31 | above-average | https://worldgdp.org/pulse-it |
| Netherlands | 2026-10-12 | -0.15 | +0.06 | about average | https://worldgdp.org/pulse-nl |
| Spain | 2026-10-12 | +0.63 | +0.17 | above-average | https://worldgdp.org/pulse-es |
| United Kingdom | 2026-10-26 | +0.23 | +0.24 | about average | https://worldgdp.org/pulse-uk |
| United States | 2026-10-26 | +0.39 | +0.05 | above-average | https://worldgdp.org/pulse-us |
| World | 2026-10-26 | +0.38 | -0.02 | above-average | https://worldgdp.org/pulse-world |